Vig — Analysis

bond_futcommoditycryptoequity_indexfx_crossfx_emfx_g10stockmacropicksLONGSHORTP(out) ≥ 0.00 reset

Technical board / the original toolkit — RSI, Bollinger, MACD, golden cross, VWAP, momentum — as a read of the tape

TACTICAL · DAILY POSITION · 6-MONTH same toolkit, weekly bars — RSI14w, %B 20w, weekly MACD, 10/40w cross, VWAP20w, 6m momentum

Instrument	RSI14 (Cutler)	Boll %B (20d)	MACD bps	50/200d	vs VWAP20d	12m	Consensus
CT=F commodity	55	0.84	+21.4	GOLDEN	+0.1%	+22%	+6
^STOXX50E equity_index	57	0.83	+0.5	GOLDEN	+1.1%	+18%	+6
^MXX equity_index	60	0.83	+18.5	GOLDEN	+1.0%	+15%	+6
HO=F commodity	60	0.62	+10.3	GOLDEN	+6.6%	+83%	+6
HG=F commodity	63	0.91	+28.4	GOLDEN	+2.8%	+45%	+6
CL=F commodity	56	0.59	+45.1	GOLDEN	+2.6%	+32%	+6
^GDAXI equity_index	63	0.85	+21.3	GOLDEN	+1.8%	+6%	+6
^FTSE equity_index	76 OB	0.91	+27.4	GOLDEN	+2.3%	+19%	+6
^FCHI equity_index	60	0.89	+10.1	GOLDEN	+1.2%	+9%	+6
BZ=F commodity	55	0.58	+31.4	GOLDEN	+4.0%	+34%	+6
^STI equity_index	67	0.74	+2.5	GOLDEN	+1.8%	+32%	+6
^AXJO equity_index	67	0.99	+22.1	GOLDEN	+1.8%	+2%	+6
AUDUSD=X fx_g10	63	0.95	+10.1	GOLDEN	—	+8%	+5
JPY=X fx_g10	71 OB	0.75	+1.0	GOLDEN	—	+11%	+5
^IBEX equity_index	60	0.86	+4.4	GOLDEN	—	+32%	+5
EURJPY=X fx_cross	84 OB	0.99	+8.8	GOLDEN	—	+9%	+5
GC=F commodity	63	0.82	+47.9	DEATH	+0.9%	+23%	+4
PL=F commodity	58	0.82	+63.2	DEATH	+0.1%	+24%	+4
^AEX equity_index	61	0.91	-1.2	GOLDEN	+1.3%	+23%	+4
SI=F commodity	55	0.58	+90.9	DEATH	+2.6%	+53%	+4
^HSI equity_index	69	0.82	+52.6	DEATH	+3.9%	+0%	+4
ZC=F commodity	66	0.89	+33.0	DEATH	+3.4%	+25%	+4
^BVSP equity_index	53	0.78	+11.6	DEATH	+1.4%	+30%	+4
^SSMI equity_index	56	0.69	-8.6	GOLDEN	+0.5%	+20%	+4
^JKSE equity_index	61	0.63	+9.8	—	+0.6%	-22%	+3
EURCHF=X fx_cross	61	0.67	+4.7	GOLDEN	—	-1%	+3
NZDJPY=X fx_cross	64	0.55	-1.1	GOLDEN	—	+7%	+3
TWD=X fx_em	73 OB	0.81	-1.3	GOLDEN	—	+8%	+3
PA=F commodity	58	0.86	+44.5	DEATH	+0.0%	+16%	+2
MSFT stock	72 OB	1.20	+143.2	DEATH	+12.7%	-13%	+2
^NSEI equity_index	53	0.75	+4.6	DEATH	+0.8%	-1%	+2
ZW=F commodity	60	0.53	-40.4	GOLDEN	-2.5%	+30%	+2
BTC-USD crypto	61	0.57	+17.0	DEATH	+0.5%	-48%	+2
ETH-USD crypto	64	0.68	+33.4	DEATH	+2.6%	-60%	+2
THB=X fx_em	54	0.35	-13.5	GOLDEN	—	+3%	+1
EURUSD=X fx_g10	64	1.17	+11.6	DEATH	—	-1%	+1
BRL=X fx_em	55	0.62	+4.0	DEATH	—	-5%	+1
CADJPY=X fx_cross	53	0.30	-0.7	GOLDEN	—	+7%	+1
USDZAR=X fx_em	59	0.70	+13.6	DEATH	—	-5%	+1
USDINR=X fx_em	54	0.32	-11.4	GOLDEN	—	+9%	+1
EURAUD=X fx_cross	53	0.74	+3.7	DEATH	—	-8%	+1
EURGBP=X fx_cross	59	0.74	+12.4	DEATH	—	-1%	+1
AUDJPY=X fx_cross	55	0.33	-0.9	GOLDEN	—	+17%	+1
NZDUSD=X fx_g10	66	0.87	+9.3	DEATH	—	-2%	+1
AUDNZD=X fx_cross	40	0.25	+0.6	GOLDEN	—	+9%	+1
GBPCHF=X fx_cross	60	0.65	-5.4	GOLDEN	—	-0%	+1
SEK=X fx_g10	40	-0.15	-19.8	GOLDEN	—	+0%	-1
CAD=X fx_g10	31	0.14	-10.0	GOLDEN	—	+2%	-1
GBPUSD=X fx_g10	54	0.75	-1.1	DEATH	—	-0%	-1
CHF=X fx_g10	47	0.30	-6.4	GOLDEN	—	+0%	-1
CHFJPY=X fx_cross	45	-0.05	-3.7	GOLDEN	—	+9%	-1
SGD=X fx_em	36	-0.28	-6.9	GOLDEN	—	+0%	-1
GBPJPY=X fx_cross	47	0.10	-11.3	GOLDEN	—	+8%	-1
KRW=X fx_em	19 OS	0.03	-34.6	GOLDEN	—	+4%	-1
^GSPC equity_index	30 OS	0.05	-32.5	GOLDEN	-2.2%	+13%	-2
^IXIC equity_index	39	0.29	-29.7	GOLDEN	-1.8%	+16%	-2
^DJI equity_index	47	0.42	-14.2	GOLDEN	-0.2%	+16%	-2
^RUT equity_index	40	0.07	-32.4	GOLDEN	-2.0%	+25%	-2
^KS11 equity_index	45	0.33	-110.5	GOLDEN	-6.9%	+99%	-2
^N225 equity_index	44	0.41	-58.6	GOLDEN	-1.0%	+50%	-2
RB=F commodity	47	0.30	-71.8	GOLDEN	-3.2%	+50%	-2
ZT=F bond_fut	54	0.48	+1.2	DEATH	-0.0%	-1%	-2
XRP-USD crypto	53	0.32	+9.6	DEATH	-1.9%	-67%	-2
GOOGL stock	41	0.29	-29.7	GOLDEN	-3.1%	+66%	-2
LE=F commodity	35	0.38	+28.2	GOLDEN	-1.8%	-3%	-2
ZS=F commodity	46	0.30	-42.4	GOLDEN	-2.1%	+16%	-2
NVDA stock	42	0.20	-68.8	GOLDEN	-4.1%	+8%	-2
ZF=F bond_fut	50	0.39	+1.4	DEATH	-0.1%	-2%	-2
^TWII equity_index	41	0.32	-95.3	—	-3.2%	+75%	-3
KC=F commodity	42	0.37	-75.8	DEATH	-0.1%	+2%	-4
HE=F commodity	30	-0.08	-205.2	GOLDEN	-14.0%	-24%	-4
ZN=F bond_fut	48	0.33	+1.1	DEATH	-0.3%	-3%	-4
CC=F commodity	35	0.20	-201.6	GOLDEN	-4.1%	-40%	-4
USDMXN=X fx_em	45	0.38	-4.0	DEATH	—	-6%	-5
NOK=X fx_g10	30 OS	0.09	-22.0	DEATH	—	-6%	-5
UB=F bond_fut	37	0.09	-6.5	DEATH	-1.5%	-6%	-6
SOL-USD crypto	48	0.28	-53.3	DEATH	-3.3%	-63%	-6
SB=F commodity	40	0.15	-47.1	DEATH	-2.8%	-14%	-6
ZB=F bond_fut	40	0.14	-4.4	DEATH	-1.1%	-5%	-6
NG=F commodity	39	0.27	-55.1	DEATH	-7.4%	-2%	-6
META stock	15 OS	-0.00	-230.5	DEATH	-13.4%	-31%	-6

Instrument	RSI14w (Cutler)	Boll %B (20w)	MACD bps (wkly)	10/40w	vs VWAP20w	6m	Consensus
^GDAXI equity_index	63	0.82	+32.0	GOLDEN	+5.1%	+4%	+6
^AEX equity_index	74 OB	0.87	+37.5	GOLDEN	+6.8%	+10%	+6
^FTSE equity_index	66	0.98	+13.1	GOLDEN	+4.7%	+7%	+6
^FCHI equity_index	64	0.80	+24.0	GOLDEN	+3.6%	+4%	+6
HO=F commodity	54	0.67	+6.3	GOLDEN	+8.6%	+50%	+6
^DJI equity_index	78 OB	0.73	+21.4	GOLDEN	+4.3%	+7%	+6
CT=F commodity	55	0.79	+7.4	GOLDEN	+9.1%	+28%	+6
^AXJO equity_index	60	0.94	+20.0	GOLDEN	+3.1%	+2%	+6
ZW=F commodity	58	0.84	+71.3	GOLDEN	+7.2%	+22%	+6
CC=F commodity	70	0.78	+544.7	GOLDEN	+31.5%	+23%	+6
ZS=F commodity	54	0.65	+19.3	GOLDEN	+2.5%	+12%	+6
^SSMI equity_index	79 OB	0.84	+56.3	GOLDEN	+6.5%	+9%	+6
^STI equity_index	92 OB	1.03	+81.0	GOLDEN	+10.1%	+15%	+6
^STOXX50E equity_index	70 OB	0.80	+30.8	GOLDEN	+5.6%	+7%	+6
GBPJPY=X fx_cross	53	0.71	+1.9	GOLDEN	—	+2%	+5
SEK=X fx_g10	61	0.65	+34.7	GOLDEN	—	+8%	+5
JPY=X fx_g10	67	0.92	+13.3	GOLDEN	—	+7%	+5
SGD=X fx_em	55	0.54	+10.5	GOLDEN	—	+2%	+5
THB=X fx_em	69	0.82	+32.5	GOLDEN	—	+7%	+5
TWD=X fx_em	79 OB	1.01	+20.0	GOLDEN	—	+3%	+5
GBPCHF=X fx_cross	70 OB	0.97	+37.0	GOLDEN	—	+3%	+5
CAD=X fx_g10	65	0.65	+17.4	GOLDEN	—	+4%	+5
^IBEX equity_index	76 OB	0.85	+34.1	GOLDEN	—	+10%	+5
EURCHF=X fx_cross	67	0.96	+19.9	GOLDEN	—	+2%	+5
CHF=X fx_g10	65	0.76	+36.4	GOLDEN	—	+6%	+5
^N225 equity_index	61	0.61	-65.5	GOLDEN	+3.4%	+22%	+4
ZC=F commodity	54	0.79	+46.1	DEATH	+5.5%	+9%	+4
^RUT equity_index	59	0.62	-17.1	GOLDEN	+3.2%	+11%	+4
^GSPC equity_index	56	0.56	-22.8	GOLDEN	+1.3%	+5%	+4
MSFT stock	56	0.98	+99.1	DEATH	+12.6%	+5%	+4
^IXIC equity_index	52	0.53	-58.7	GOLDEN	+0.6%	+7%	+4
HG=F commodity	66	0.80	-17.6	GOLDEN	+7.2%	+10%	+4
^TWII equity_index	59	0.59	-90.6	GOLDEN	+2.7%	+33%	+4
NOK=X fx_g10	60	0.54	+44.8	DEATH	—	+0%	+3
NZDJPY=X fx_cross	54	0.76	-2.2	GOLDEN	—	+1%	+3
EURJPY=X fx_cross	53	0.92	-5.9	GOLDEN	—	+2%	+3
USDINR=X fx_em	59	0.66	-7.4	GOLDEN	—	+4%	+3
^NSEI equity_index	56	0.76	+42.2	DEATH	+2.3%	-4%	+2
KC=F commodity	54	0.80	+253.9	DEATH	+13.7%	-2%	+2
EURAUD=X fx_cross	53	0.59	+31.4	DEATH	—	-3%	+1
USDZAR=X fx_em	50	0.61	+31.2	DEATH	—	+6%	+1
USDMXN=X fx_em	51	0.48	+28.6	DEATH	—	+1%	+1
BRL=X fx_em	60	0.61	+36.1	DEATH	—	-1%	+1
SB=F commodity	56	0.48	+64.3	DEATH	-0.4%	+1%	+0
^HSI equity_index	48	0.65	+8.7	DEATH	+2.7%	-6%	+0
AUDJPY=X fx_cross	45	0.49	-39.9	GOLDEN	—	+5%	-1
KRW=X fx_em	42	-0.02	-59.6	GOLDEN	—	+0%	-1
AUDNZD=X fx_cross	40	0.09	-38.9	GOLDEN	—	+3%	-1
CADJPY=X fx_cross	38	0.34	-15.6	GOLDEN	—	+1%	-1
NZDUSD=X fx_g10	51	0.62	-4.7	DEATH	—	-3%	-1
NVDA stock	45	0.41	-81.0	GOLDEN	-2.3%	+2%	-2
BZ=F commodity	40	0.37	-184.4	GOLDEN	-8.6%	+24%	-2
CL=F commodity	44	0.36	-215.9	GOLDEN	-9.1%	+26%	-2
^KS11 equity_index	49	0.34	-395.3	GOLDEN	-5.9%	+23%	-2
NG=F commodity	57	0.29	+10.5	DEATH	-7.0%	-37%	-2
RB=F commodity	41	0.37	-147.6	GOLDEN	-3.9%	+61%	-2
AUDUSD=X fx_g10	42	0.43	-43.5	GOLDEN	—	-0%	-3
CHFJPY=X fx_cross	33	0.08	-33.8	GOLDEN	—	-1%	-3
GBPUSD=X fx_g10	49	0.61	-0.8	DEATH	—	-3%	-3
SOL-USD crypto	41	0.32	+317.4	DEATH	-8.8%	-37%	-4
BTC-USD crypto	30	0.32	+48.7	DEATH	-7.3%	-23%	-4
LE=F commodity	34	0.08	-156.5	GOLDEN	-6.1%	-4%	-4
^MXX equity_index	42	0.42	-57.1	GOLDEN	-0.7%	-0%	-4
XRP-USD crypto	25 OS	0.21	+131.9	DEATH	-16.2%	-38%	-4
HE=F commodity	39	-0.12	-45.5	GOLDEN	-11.8%	-5%	-4
GOOGL stock	48	0.39	-220.2	GOLDEN	-4.0%	-1%	-4
^JKSE equity_index	33	0.36	+32.6	DEATH	-6.0%	-26%	-4
ETH-USD crypto	35	0.42	+189.6	DEATH	-5.5%	-29%	-4
EURGBP=X fx_cross	39	0.22	-15.6	DEATH	—	-1%	-5
EURUSD=X fx_g10	39	0.39	-16.2	DEATH	—	-4%	-5
ZF=F bond_fut	32	0.16	-7.3	DEATH	-0.9%	-2%	-6
GC=F commodity	26 OS	0.25	-164.6	DEATH	-7.7%	-12%	-6
SI=F commodity	25 OS	0.18	-416.0	DEATH	-13.1%	-25%	-6
^BVSP equity_index	34	0.43	-76.1	DEATH	-1.4%	-2%	-6
PA=F commodity	32	0.36	-96.3	DEATH	-3.7%	-23%	-6
META stock	35	0.13	-16.9	DEATH	-10.4%	-25%	-6
PL=F commodity	18 OS	0.23	-252.0	DEATH	-7.2%	-22%	-6
UB=F bond_fut	33	-0.02	-27.6	DEATH	-3.1%	-5%	-6
ZB=F bond_fut	34	0.00	-23.7	DEATH	-2.6%	-5%	-6
ZT=F bond_fut	32	0.19	-3.5	DEATH	-0.4%	-1%	-6
ZN=F bond_fut	33	0.13	-10.5	DEATH	-1.3%	-3%	-6

HONESTY — these are the exact indicators Study 1 backtested; net of costs none cleared the Deflated Sharpe bar as standalone strategies (best DSR 0.29). The board describes market state; the consensus column measures agreement, not edge.

Macro wire / indices, rates, energy, gold, crypto, fx

nothing on this wire today

Single names on the desk / today's picks in the news

nothing on this wire today

Wire vs desk / what's loud vs where the book stands

Instrument	Wire heat	Desk stance

Desk read / computed — the written synthesis activates with an API key

Vig trades prices, not narratives: headlines here are context for the human, never inputs to the model.