Portfolio builder / capital in, allocation out — risk parity core,
vol-targeted, Vig alpha capped
The allocation
| Sleeve | Vehicle | Weight | Dollars |
What history says about this mix / today's weights replayed through
2004-present — pain included, promises excluded
Cash sleeve is modeled at 0% return (T-bills would add ~the
short rate — conservative profiles are understated here). History assumes
daily rebalancing to fixed weights; a real quarterly-rebalanced book drifts
and would show modestly deeper drawdowns. Sleeves enter history at their
inception (BTC 2014+), weights renormalized before that. Historical CAGR is
what this mix DID, not what it will do. Rebalance quarterly; more often just
pays your broker.
Worst episodes for this mix / peak → trough → recovery,
2004-present — know the pain before you size
| Depth | Peak | Trough | Recovered | On your capital |
Alpha sleeve / Vig long book as of 2026-07-30 —
long-only top decile, equal weight; treat as equity risk with a thin tilt
| Ticker | P(out) | Last | Dollars | Shares |
My book / track your actual positions — stored only in this
browser; recommendations rebalance you toward the selected profile above
copy JSON
paste JSONclear book
| Position | Sleeve / sector |
Shares | Last | Value | Weight | P&L |
Model view (1W) | |
Rebalance me / vs the selected profile — dollar moves, honestly sized